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Modeling individual healthcare expen...
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Gao, Jie.
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Modeling individual healthcare expenditures by extending the two-part model.
紀錄類型:
書目-語言資料,印刷品 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
Modeling individual healthcare expenditures by extending the two-part model./
作者:
Gao, Jie.
面頁冊數:
151 p.
附註:
Advisers: Edward W. Frees; Marjorie A. Rosenberg.
Contained By:
Dissertation Abstracts International68-12A.
標題:
Business Administration, Management. -
電子資源:
http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3294044
ISBN:
9780549383437
Modeling individual healthcare expenditures by extending the two-part model.
Gao, Jie.
Modeling individual healthcare expenditures by extending the two-part model.
- 151 p.
Advisers: Edward W. Frees; Marjorie A. Rosenberg.
Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of Wisconsin - Madison, 2007.
Frequency or the number of utilization is generated from a negative binomial process for both the inpatient and outpatient care. Severity or expenditures per event is assumed to be log-normal or gamma.
ISBN: 9780549383437Subjects--Topical Terms:
626628
Business Administration, Management.
Modeling individual healthcare expenditures by extending the two-part model.
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Frequency or the number of utilization is generated from a negative binomial process for both the inpatient and outpatient care. Severity or expenditures per event is assumed to be log-normal or gamma.
520
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Methods for estimating healthcare expenditures link the financial risks of providing health services to individuals' characteristics. This dissertation developed statistical methods based on extensions of the two-part model (TPM).
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The emphasis of this dissertation is on two extensions of the TPM. The first extension is an aggregate loss approach that models frequency of utilization and severity for both inpatient and outpatient care. Total individual healthcare expenditures are expressed as a combination between frequency and severity. The second extension is based on the interdependency between inpatient and outpatient care. I developed a joint aggregate loss model where I conditioned counts of outpatient visits on inpatient admissions. A random effects specification as well as a copula function were introduced to explain correlations among expenditures by subject.
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Results indicate that modeling the frequency of utilization is an important step in modeling total healthcare expenditures as many individual characteristics are significant in explaining the number of inpatient and outpatient care events. Inpatient and outpatient care are complements and the joint dependency is largely due to inpatient admissions inducing more frequent outpatient care.
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The log-normal distribution provides support for the principal-agent relationship and better fit than the gamma distribution for both inpatient and outpatient severity. With the gamma assumption, more personal characteristics become significant in determining the severity. The differences in estimates from the two distribution assumptions on severity can be due to log-scale errors that are heterogeneous.
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In out-of-sample predictions, the aggregate loss approach outperforms existing methods when medians of the gamma distribution are used to predict inpatient severity. The joint aggregate loss models improve on existing methods when means and medians of the log-normal distribution are used as predictors for inpatient severity. Predictions of outpatient expenditures from the developed methods are comparable to competing methods. Results from predictions suggest that medians of distributions are meaningful predictors because of the large mass at zero and the skewness observed in healthcare data.
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