語系:
繁體中文
English
說明(常見問題)
回圖書館首頁
手機版館藏查詢
登入
回首頁
切換:
標籤
|
MARC模式
|
ISBD
The Colombian Forest Sector Model - ...
~
Martinez-Cortes, Oscar Geovani.
FindBook
Google Book
Amazon
博客來
The Colombian Forest Sector Model - An Analysis of Forest Plantation Policy in Colombia.
紀錄類型:
書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
The Colombian Forest Sector Model - An Analysis of Forest Plantation Policy in Colombia./
作者:
Martinez-Cortes, Oscar Geovani.
出版者:
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, : 2023,
面頁冊數:
286 p.
附註:
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 85-01, Section: B.
Contained By:
Dissertations Abstracts International85-01B.
標題:
Statistics. -
電子資源:
https://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=30420399
ISBN:
9798379763886
The Colombian Forest Sector Model - An Analysis of Forest Plantation Policy in Colombia.
Martinez-Cortes, Oscar Geovani.
The Colombian Forest Sector Model - An Analysis of Forest Plantation Policy in Colombia.
- Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2023 - 286 p.
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 85-01, Section: B.
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Toronto (Canada), 2023.
This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.
An economic model for the Colombian forest sector (Colombian Forest Sector Model - CFSM) is developed and used to analyse Colombia´s commercial forest plantation policy covering the 2018 - 2038 horizon (PFCm policy). The CFSM is a structural partial equilibrium econometric model that forecasts quantities and prices for the Colombian forest product markets using the neoclassical theory of competitive markets. Phase I of the CFSM (CFSM-I), developed in detail in this dissertation, includes a simulator of growth and yield for the Colombian forest plantations and two market (sub)models: for Unprocessed Wood and for Manufactured Wood Products. Using the CFSM-I, two PFCm policy goals were simulated to unveil their impacts on the Colombian forest sector. Simulations of an expansion of Colombia's forest plantation current area (0.3 million hectares, Mha, on Dec 2015) to 1.5 Mha by 2025 indicate that Colombia would increase the 2015-2047 volume available of industrial wood in plantations by 5 times (annually 20.8 million cubic meters of underbark roundwood, on average). In monetary values, this expansion would importantly impact the unprocessed wood market. Supply and exports of wood would multiply by 2.5 and 14.5 times in the next 25 years meanwhile its price of supply would drop by 24%, respectively, and on average, compared to the scenario of no expansion of the current plantations. Simulations of a 2023-2038 5.5-times expansion of the current (2022) production capacity of Colombia's manufactured wood forest products industry show that on average in the next 25 years and compared to the no expansion scenario, consumption of unprocessed wood and manufactured wood products of the pulp and paper industry would increase by 8% each, and the imports of the latter and of manufactured products of the furniture industry would decrease by 35% and 25%, respectively. Alternative policies of plantation area expansion (0.45 Mha, 0.765 Mha, and 2.0 Mha under sustained rotation, and 0.3 Mha harvested without replanting) also simulated enrich the set of information for policy makers and other stakeholders in preparation for the first round of the PFCm policy evaluation, scheduled for 2023 after the completion of its first implementation period in December 2022.
ISBN: 9798379763886Subjects--Topical Terms:
517247
Statistics.
Subjects--Index Terms:
Colombia
The Colombian Forest Sector Model - An Analysis of Forest Plantation Policy in Colombia.
LDR
:03581nmm a2200409 4500
001
2393453
005
20240318062636.5
006
m o d
007
cr#unu||||||||
008
251215s2023 ||||||||||||||||| ||eng d
020
$a
9798379763886
035
$a
(MiAaPQ)AAI30420399
035
$a
AAI30420399
040
$a
MiAaPQ
$c
MiAaPQ
100
1
$a
Martinez-Cortes, Oscar Geovani.
$3
3762915
245
1 0
$a
The Colombian Forest Sector Model - An Analysis of Forest Plantation Policy in Colombia.
260
1
$a
Ann Arbor :
$b
ProQuest Dissertations & Theses,
$c
2023
300
$a
286 p.
500
$a
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 85-01, Section: B.
500
$a
Advisor: Kant, Shashi.
502
$a
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Toronto (Canada), 2023.
506
$a
This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.
520
$a
An economic model for the Colombian forest sector (Colombian Forest Sector Model - CFSM) is developed and used to analyse Colombia´s commercial forest plantation policy covering the 2018 - 2038 horizon (PFCm policy). The CFSM is a structural partial equilibrium econometric model that forecasts quantities and prices for the Colombian forest product markets using the neoclassical theory of competitive markets. Phase I of the CFSM (CFSM-I), developed in detail in this dissertation, includes a simulator of growth and yield for the Colombian forest plantations and two market (sub)models: for Unprocessed Wood and for Manufactured Wood Products. Using the CFSM-I, two PFCm policy goals were simulated to unveil their impacts on the Colombian forest sector. Simulations of an expansion of Colombia's forest plantation current area (0.3 million hectares, Mha, on Dec 2015) to 1.5 Mha by 2025 indicate that Colombia would increase the 2015-2047 volume available of industrial wood in plantations by 5 times (annually 20.8 million cubic meters of underbark roundwood, on average). In monetary values, this expansion would importantly impact the unprocessed wood market. Supply and exports of wood would multiply by 2.5 and 14.5 times in the next 25 years meanwhile its price of supply would drop by 24%, respectively, and on average, compared to the scenario of no expansion of the current plantations. Simulations of a 2023-2038 5.5-times expansion of the current (2022) production capacity of Colombia's manufactured wood forest products industry show that on average in the next 25 years and compared to the no expansion scenario, consumption of unprocessed wood and manufactured wood products of the pulp and paper industry would increase by 8% each, and the imports of the latter and of manufactured products of the furniture industry would decrease by 35% and 25%, respectively. Alternative policies of plantation area expansion (0.45 Mha, 0.765 Mha, and 2.0 Mha under sustained rotation, and 0.3 Mha harvested without replanting) also simulated enrich the set of information for policy makers and other stakeholders in preparation for the first round of the PFCm policy evaluation, scheduled for 2023 after the completion of its first implementation period in December 2022.
590
$a
School code: 0779.
650
4
$a
Statistics.
$3
517247
650
4
$a
Wood sciences.
$3
3168288
653
$a
Colombia
653
$a
Forest economics
653
$a
Forest plantations
653
$a
Forest sector model
653
$a
Forest sector modelling in the tropics
653
$a
Growth and yield simulators
690
$a
0501
690
$a
0463
690
$a
0746
710
2
$a
University of Toronto (Canada).
$b
Forestry.
$3
3174961
773
0
$t
Dissertations Abstracts International
$g
85-01B.
790
$a
0779
791
$a
Ph.D.
792
$a
2023
793
$a
English
856
4 0
$u
https://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=30420399
筆 0 讀者評論
館藏地:
全部
電子資源
出版年:
卷號:
館藏
1 筆 • 頁數 1 •
1
條碼號
典藏地名稱
館藏流通類別
資料類型
索書號
使用類型
借閱狀態
預約狀態
備註欄
附件
W9501773
電子資源
11.線上閱覽_V
電子書
EB
一般使用(Normal)
在架
0
1 筆 • 頁數 1 •
1
多媒體
評論
新增評論
分享你的心得
Export
取書館
處理中
...
變更密碼
登入