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Voting Across Divisions : = How Ethnicity and Conflict Shape Political Preferences in Myanmar and Beyond.

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	Voting Across Divisions :/
其他題名:	How Ethnicity and Conflict Shape Political Preferences in Myanmar and Beyond.
作者:	Kim, Jiwon Lee.
面頁冊數:	1 online resource (177 pages)
附註:	Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 85-06, Section: A.
Contained By:	Dissertations Abstracts International85-06A.
標題:	Ethnicity. -
電子資源:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=30742189click for full text (PQDT)
ISBN:	9798381030631

Voting Across Divisions : = How Ethnicity and Conflict Shape Political Preferences in Myanmar and Beyond.
Kim, Jiwon Lee.

Voting Across Divisions :How Ethnicity and Conflict Shape Political Preferences in Myanmar and Beyond. - 1 online resource (177 pages)

Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 85-06, Section: A.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--Stanford University, 2023.

Includes bibliographical references

In societies torn by ethnic division and armed conflict, can people's preferences converge on a national political actor? If so, what explains the variation in people's support for national governments in these settings? Using novel data and a survey in a politically fragile country, this dissertation seeks to explain the support for national governments in conflicttorn societies. In the first paper, I develop a novel method to estimate the extent to which voters vote across their ethnic identities to support a national party. I apply it to analyze Myanmar's historic 2020 elections and show that the National League for Democracy (NLD) party candidates won on average twice as much vote shares as they would have received if everyone only voted for co-ethnic candidates. In the second paper, I show that the variation in ethnic minorities' trust for Myanmar's new pro-democracy national government in exile, the National Unity Government (NUG), can be explained by the variation in their exposure to ethnic rebel governance. Results from an original online survey show that, all else equal, those with more reported exposure to positive rebel governance such as healthcare and education have lower trust for the NUG, given that the rebel is not viewed as explicitly supporting the NUG. In the last paper, I examine whether conflict outcomes can predict the changes in wartime government party vote shares before and after conflict termination, in both areas minimally and heavily affected by violence. From case by case analyses of 22 conflicts and their constituency-level election outcomes, I find some support for the claim that more victorious outcomes boost government party vote shares, although some major exceptions call for more nuanced qualification of the claim. In all, the dissertation demonstrates that people's preferences in conflict-torn and ethnically divided societies can converge on national political actors, and that this preference is moderated by people's exposure to rebel governance and their assessment of conflict outcomes.

Electronic reproduction.
Ann Arbor, Mich. :
ProQuest,
2023

Mode of access: World Wide Web

ISBN: 9798381030631Subjects--Topical Terms:

519288
Ethnicity.
Index Terms--Genre/Form:

542853
Electronic books.

Voting Across Divisions : = How Ethnicity and Conflict Shape Political Preferences in Myanmar and Beyond.
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500 $a Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 85-06, Section: A.
500 $a Advisor: Fearon, James ; Laitin, David ; Prillaman, Soledad ; Rodden, Jonathan.
502 $a Thesis (Ph.D.)--Stanford University, 2023.
504 $a Includes bibliographical references
520 $a In societies torn by ethnic division and armed conflict, can people's preferences converge on a national political actor? If so, what explains the variation in people's support for national governments in these settings? Using novel data and a survey in a politically fragile country, this dissertation seeks to explain the support for national governments in conflicttorn societies. In the first paper, I develop a novel method to estimate the extent to which voters vote across their ethnic identities to support a national party. I apply it to analyze Myanmar's historic 2020 elections and show that the National League for Democracy (NLD) party candidates won on average twice as much vote shares as they would have received if everyone only voted for co-ethnic candidates. In the second paper, I show that the variation in ethnic minorities' trust for Myanmar's new pro-democracy national government in exile, the National Unity Government (NUG), can be explained by the variation in their exposure to ethnic rebel governance. Results from an original online survey show that, all else equal, those with more reported exposure to positive rebel governance such as healthcare and education have lower trust for the NUG, given that the rebel is not viewed as explicitly supporting the NUG. In the last paper, I examine whether conflict outcomes can predict the changes in wartime government party vote shares before and after conflict termination, in both areas minimally and heavily affected by violence. From case by case analyses of 22 conflicts and their constituency-level election outcomes, I find some support for the claim that more victorious outcomes boost government party vote shares, although some major exceptions call for more nuanced qualification of the claim. In all, the dissertation demonstrates that people's preferences in conflict-torn and ethnically divided societies can converge on national political actors, and that this preference is moderated by people's exposure to rebel governance and their assessment of conflict outcomes.
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650 4 $a Elections. $3 723102
650 4 $a Political science. $3 528916
650 4 $a Southeast Asian studies. $3 3344898
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