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Political Responses to Economic Change.

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	Political Responses to Economic Change./
作者:	Marble, William.
出版者:	Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, : 2021,
面頁冊數:	205 p.
附註:	Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 83-06, Section: A.
Contained By:	Dissertations Abstracts International83-06A.
標題:	Nationalization. -
電子資源:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=28812929
ISBN:	9798494455338

Political Responses to Economic Change.
Marble, William.

Political Responses to Economic Change. - Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2021 - 205 p.

Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 83-06, Section: A.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--Stanford University, 2021.

This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.

The United States economy has undergone profound changes over the past half century. The earlier manufacturing-based economy - paired with abundant cheap housing, the presence of strong unions, and affordable education - provided a pathway for Americans to secure a comfortable life. Poorer areas grew faster than richer areas, generating economic convergence across different parts of the country. Over the past 50 years, however, the U.S. has transitioned away from manufacturing to a servicebased economy in which ideas and innovation are highly rewarded. Outsourcing, technological change, and the decline of the labor movement have all contributed to a decline in the prevalence and status of the blue-collar jobs that led to a secure middleclass lifestyle in generations past. The result is a growing gap between the winners and losers in the "knowledge economy." Highly educated workers clustered in large metro regions have benefited, while workers without college degrees - especially those in rural areas - have seen their economic fortunes stagnate (Moretti 2012; Autor 2019; Ganong and Shoag 2017). Motivated by these changes to the American economy, the three papers comprising this dissertation investigate how economic conditions affect American politics. I pay particular attention to the politics of individual issue areas, drawing on theory from political economy and public opinion research.In the first paper, I address growing realignment along educational lines in American politics. Just as the returns to a college degree have increased in recent decades, the voting behavior of those with and without college degrees has changed. Working class white voters - long a key Democratic constituency - have turned to the Republican Party in recent decades. Meanwhile, the Democratic Party increasingly draws its support from college-educated white voters and racial minorities. Using survey data from 1984 to 2020 and an issue voting framework, I show that this realignment corresponds with three trends. First, while college-educated white voters have long been more liberal on cultural issues, they are now also more liberal than those without college degrees on issues of redistribution. Across a variety of issues, college-educated voters now stand to the left of the working class, pushing them toward the Democratic Party. Second, I exploit variation in local labor markets to show that growing income inequality between college- and non-college workers has contributed to the leftward economic shift of college-educated voters. Third, since the early 2000s, non-college voters have come to base their votes on cultural issues to the same degree as college-educated voters. For decades, cultural issues have pushed college-educated voters towards Democrats; however, only in recent years have those issues pushed non-college voters toward Republicans. In sum, the educational realignment among white voters is due to increasingly liberalism among the college-educated and an increased salience of cultural issues for those without college degrees. This finding has implications for the politics of redistribution, fiscal policy, and populism.In the second paper, I investigate the effect that local economic conditions have on candidates' campaign messaging. While local economies are diverging, political behavior appears to have nationalized - potentially presenting an accountability problem if politicians are not responsive to the conditions within their districts.

ISBN: 9798494455338Subjects--Topical Terms:

3564156
Nationalization.

Political Responses to Economic Change.
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520 $a The United States economy has undergone profound changes over the past half century. The earlier manufacturing-based economy - paired with abundant cheap housing, the presence of strong unions, and affordable education - provided a pathway for Americans to secure a comfortable life. Poorer areas grew faster than richer areas, generating economic convergence across different parts of the country. Over the past 50 years, however, the U.S. has transitioned away from manufacturing to a servicebased economy in which ideas and innovation are highly rewarded. Outsourcing, technological change, and the decline of the labor movement have all contributed to a decline in the prevalence and status of the blue-collar jobs that led to a secure middleclass lifestyle in generations past. The result is a growing gap between the winners and losers in the "knowledge economy." Highly educated workers clustered in large metro regions have benefited, while workers without college degrees - especially those in rural areas - have seen their economic fortunes stagnate (Moretti 2012; Autor 2019; Ganong and Shoag 2017). Motivated by these changes to the American economy, the three papers comprising this dissertation investigate how economic conditions affect American politics. I pay particular attention to the politics of individual issue areas, drawing on theory from political economy and public opinion research.In the first paper, I address growing realignment along educational lines in American politics. Just as the returns to a college degree have increased in recent decades, the voting behavior of those with and without college degrees has changed. Working class white voters - long a key Democratic constituency - have turned to the Republican Party in recent decades. Meanwhile, the Democratic Party increasingly draws its support from college-educated white voters and racial minorities. Using survey data from 1984 to 2020 and an issue voting framework, I show that this realignment corresponds with three trends. First, while college-educated white voters have long been more liberal on cultural issues, they are now also more liberal than those without college degrees on issues of redistribution. Across a variety of issues, college-educated voters now stand to the left of the working class, pushing them toward the Democratic Party. Second, I exploit variation in local labor markets to show that growing income inequality between college- and non-college workers has contributed to the leftward economic shift of college-educated voters. Third, since the early 2000s, non-college voters have come to base their votes on cultural issues to the same degree as college-educated voters. For decades, cultural issues have pushed college-educated voters towards Democrats; however, only in recent years have those issues pushed non-college voters toward Republicans. In sum, the educational realignment among white voters is due to increasingly liberalism among the college-educated and an increased salience of cultural issues for those without college degrees. This finding has implications for the politics of redistribution, fiscal policy, and populism.In the second paper, I investigate the effect that local economic conditions have on candidates' campaign messaging. While local economies are diverging, political behavior appears to have nationalized - potentially presenting an accountability problem if politicians are not responsive to the conditions within their districts.
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