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The Impact of Oil Supply Shocks on S...
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Liu, Jingjing.
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The Impact of Oil Supply Shocks on S&P 500 Return from 1975 to 2019.
紀錄類型:
書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
The Impact of Oil Supply Shocks on S&P 500 Return from 1975 to 2019./
作者:
Liu, Jingjing.
出版者:
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, : 2020,
面頁冊數:
29 p.
附註:
Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 82-06.
Contained By:
Masters Abstracts International82-06.
電子資源:
https://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=28256134
ISBN:
9798557002912
The Impact of Oil Supply Shocks on S&P 500 Return from 1975 to 2019.
Liu, Jingjing.
The Impact of Oil Supply Shocks on S&P 500 Return from 1975 to 2019.
- Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2020 - 29 p.
Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 82-06.
Thesis (M.A.)--California State University, Fullerton, 2020.
This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.
The thesis investigates the impact of oil supply shocks on the real S&P composite return from 1975 to 2019, using multivariate VAR (vector auto-regression) approach with three sample periods. The objective of the study is to illustrate the impact of oil supply shocks on the S&P composite returns while distinguishing the origins. Impulse response functions (IRF) and forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD) are used to interpret the empirical results. We find that, the impact of foreign and domestic oil supply on S&P real return varies over time. From 1975 to 2007, foreign oil supply shock explained a larger percentage of the variations in the S&P composite return than domestic oil supply shock did. In the era after the Great Recession, the domestic oil supply become more impactful than the foreign oil supply on the variation in U.S. stock returns, as foreign oil production shocks explain 3.8% while domestic oil supply shocks explain about 6% of the variation in the S&P 500 real return. We also notice that, the stock return has become more sensitive to oil price shocks over the past decade. This might be a reflection of the country's new role as a first-tier oil producer in the global market now.
ISBN: 9798557002912Subjects--Index Terms:
FEVD
The Impact of Oil Supply Shocks on S&P 500 Return from 1975 to 2019.
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The thesis investigates the impact of oil supply shocks on the real S&P composite return from 1975 to 2019, using multivariate VAR (vector auto-regression) approach with three sample periods. The objective of the study is to illustrate the impact of oil supply shocks on the S&P composite returns while distinguishing the origins. Impulse response functions (IRF) and forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD) are used to interpret the empirical results. We find that, the impact of foreign and domestic oil supply on S&P real return varies over time. From 1975 to 2007, foreign oil supply shock explained a larger percentage of the variations in the S&P composite return than domestic oil supply shock did. In the era after the Great Recession, the domestic oil supply become more impactful than the foreign oil supply on the variation in U.S. stock returns, as foreign oil production shocks explain 3.8% while domestic oil supply shocks explain about 6% of the variation in the S&P 500 real return. We also notice that, the stock return has become more sensitive to oil price shocks over the past decade. This might be a reflection of the country's new role as a first-tier oil producer in the global market now.
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