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Rebuild, retreat, or resilience: Can...
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Su, Yu-Shou.
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Rebuild, retreat, or resilience: Can Taipei plan for resilience?
紀錄類型:
書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
Rebuild, retreat, or resilience: Can Taipei plan for resilience?/
作者:
Su, Yu-Shou.
出版者:
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, : 2015,
面頁冊數:
361 p.
附註:
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 76-11(E), Section: A.
Contained By:
Dissertation Abstracts International76-11A(E).
標題:
Urban planning. -
電子資源:
http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3709761
ISBN:
9781321854855
Rebuild, retreat, or resilience: Can Taipei plan for resilience?
Su, Yu-Shou.
Rebuild, retreat, or resilience: Can Taipei plan for resilience?
- Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2015 - 361 p.
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 76-11(E), Section: A.
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Pennsylvania, 2015.
This item is not available from ProQuest Dissertations & Theses.
Taiwan is ranked as the country most exposed to multiple hazards (The World Bank 2005). Taipei City is the capital city as well as the economic and political center of Taiwan. The United Nations report World Urbanization Prospects: The 2011 Revision places Taipei City third on the list of the world's top 10 urban areas exposed to three or more natural hazards, with the highest risk of cyclones, floods, and landslides. In order to gauge the vulnerabilities and damages of Taiwan and Taipei City, this research creates a natural disaster density indicator (NDDI) to conduct a comparative study of Taiwan, Japan, China, U.S.A., U.K., France, and the Netherlands over the past three decades. The results indicate that Taiwan has both the highest disaster occurrence and highest death toll among these seven countries. The Taipei case study, a chronology of policies implemented to prevent flooding, explains that costly engineering structures, rebuilding, and fortification against floods eventually created a false sense of security, which has encouraged more intensive residential and commercial developments in flood-prone areas, and led to a higher level of vulnerability.
ISBN: 9781321854855Subjects--Topical Terms:
2122922
Urban planning.
Rebuild, retreat, or resilience: Can Taipei plan for resilience?
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Taiwan is ranked as the country most exposed to multiple hazards (The World Bank 2005). Taipei City is the capital city as well as the economic and political center of Taiwan. The United Nations report World Urbanization Prospects: The 2011 Revision places Taipei City third on the list of the world's top 10 urban areas exposed to three or more natural hazards, with the highest risk of cyclones, floods, and landslides. In order to gauge the vulnerabilities and damages of Taiwan and Taipei City, this research creates a natural disaster density indicator (NDDI) to conduct a comparative study of Taiwan, Japan, China, U.S.A., U.K., France, and the Netherlands over the past three decades. The results indicate that Taiwan has both the highest disaster occurrence and highest death toll among these seven countries. The Taipei case study, a chronology of policies implemented to prevent flooding, explains that costly engineering structures, rebuilding, and fortification against floods eventually created a false sense of security, which has encouraged more intensive residential and commercial developments in flood-prone areas, and led to a higher level of vulnerability.
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This research further simulates and evaluates the vulnerabilities of population, land value, properties, GDP, and critical facilities in three scenarios: heavy rainfall, typhoon conditions, and extreme weather rainfall, through the technology of Geographic Information System (GIS) by using ArcMap 10.2.2 software. The results indicate 40% of Taipei City is located in flood risk areas in an extreme weather scenario. This percentage is higher than other global cities such as London's 15%, Tokyo's 10%, and New York City's 25%. Based on the 10% of total flooding areas above 0.5 meter, the vulnerable population is estimated at 200,000 people, or 7% of the total population. The GDP impact will be more than $28 billion. More than $67 billion of land value is vulnerable. A least one million subway passengers will be impacted each day. There is little evidence that the urban poor are particularly vulnerable to floods. On the contrary, some neighborhoods with high income households face a higher risk of floods. Very few medical centers, oil and gas stations, and electrical power substations are located in flood-prone areas, but, a large number of public schools, administrative buildings, and major subway stations are susceptible. Additionally, the likelihood analysis of flooding in an extreme weather rainfall scenario concludes that the possibility will be five times that of the existing assumption with a flood in every 200 years. Thus, Taipei City's infrequent once-in-two-century floods are likely to occur more frequently. Further, the 1% of Taipei metropolitan region flooding above 1 meter will possibly cost up to $ 1.5 billion in damages. Therefore, in the future, rather than strengthening and rebuilding costly structures, Taipei should focus on land-use and environmental planning for resilience. Urban policies should include environmentally responsible development in the face of continued population and economic growth, and being resilient regarding natural disasters. Most important is the need of a strong political commitment and leadership to initiate and implement urban policies toward resilience. In doing so, resilience can be achieved in Taipei.
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