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Essays on the business cycle (Wesley...

Harding, Allan Donald.

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Essays on the business cycle (Wesley Mitchell).

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	Essays on the business cycle (Wesley Mitchell)./
作者:	Harding, Allan Donald.
面頁冊數:	269 p.
附註:	Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 64-03, Section: A, page: 1001.
Contained By:	Dissertation Abstracts International64-03A.
標題:	Economics, General. -
電子資源:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3084302

Essays on the business cycle (Wesley Mitchell).
Harding, Allan Donald.

Essays on the business cycle (Wesley Mitchell). - 269 p.

Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 64-03, Section: A, page: 1001.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--Yale University, 2003.

In the first half of the 20th century Wesley Mitchell made major empirical and theoretical contributions to understanding business cycles. Mitchell's methods continue to be used by business and government but are largely ignored by academic economists.Subjects--Topical Terms:

1017424
Economics, General.

Essays on the business cycle (Wesley Mitchell).
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245 1 0 $a Essays on the business cycle (Wesley Mitchell).
300 $a 269 p.
500 $a Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 64-03, Section: A, page: 1001.
500 $a Director: William C. Brainard.
502 $a Thesis (Ph.D.)--Yale University, 2003.
520 $a In the first half of the 20th century Wesley Mitchell made major empirical and theoretical contributions to understanding business cycles. Mitchell's methods continue to be used by business and government but are largely ignored by academic economists.
520 $a Are business and government using outdated techniques? Or does their continued use of these techniques signal the existence of valuable features hitherto ignored in the academic literature? In this thesis I demonstrate that the latter is the case.
520 $a I show that the central empirical concept used by Mitchell---turningpoints in the sample path---can be formulated mathematically and an econometric framework can be built around the expected proportion of such turningpoints. This expectation always exists and is bounded above by one and below by zero. It can be related to the parameters of data generating process and this relationship does not require the existence of any moments of yt. Moreover, where the moments of yt do exist they can also be related to the expected number of turningpoints. I show that the expected proportion of turningpoints has a monotonicity property that turns out to be very useful in establishing consistency of estimators under weak assumptions. Unlike the spectrum, turningpoints can be used to assemble information about nonlinearities in the DGP of yt.
520 $a I show that an algorithm to locate turningpoints can be given a formal mathematical representation. And, I show how a turningpoint based approach to quantifying economic dynamics can be integrated with empirical macroeconomics.
520 $a With the econometric foundations of turningpoints established I then investigate the nature of the business cycle making use of Mitchell's approach to understanding that phenomenon. I find support for Mitchell's hypothesis that the business cycle is part of a complex and evolving dynamic process.
590 $a School code: 0265.
650 4 $a Economics, General. $3 1017424
650 4 $a Economics, History. $3 1017418
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790 1 0 $a Brainard, William C., $e advisor
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791 $a Ph.D.
792 $a 2003
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