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Epidemic modelling: SIRS models.
~
Dolgoarshinnykh, Regina G.
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Epidemic modelling: SIRS models.
紀錄類型:
書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
Epidemic modelling: SIRS models./
作者:
Dolgoarshinnykh, Regina G.
面頁冊數:
132 p.
附註:
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 64-07, Section: B, page: 3352.
Contained By:
Dissertation Abstracts International64-07B.
標題:
Statistics. -
電子資源:
http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3097098
Epidemic modelling: SIRS models.
Dolgoarshinnykh, Regina G.
Epidemic modelling: SIRS models.
- 132 p.
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 64-07, Section: B, page: 3352.
Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of Chicago, 2003.
A class of models, the SIRS models, has been proposed to study infection spread in a finite population. The letters S, I, R refer to the three possible states an individual in the population may assume in turn: susceptible, infected and recovered.Subjects--Topical Terms:
517247
Statistics.
Epidemic modelling: SIRS models.
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Epidemic modelling: SIRS models.
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Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 64-07, Section: B, page: 3352.
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Adviser: Steven P. Lalley.
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Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of Chicago, 2003.
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A class of models, the SIRS models, has been proposed to study infection spread in a finite population. The letters S, I, R refer to the three possible states an individual in the population may assume in turn: susceptible, infected and recovered.
520
$a
This dissertation investigates the infection spread under the SIRS models. For certain values of parameters the infection becomes endemic and the proportions of the individuals in each state stay near a certain stable level. We prove the law of large numbers for the population proportions and describe the limiting system of ordinary differential equations. We also investigate the fluctuations around the stable level of the population proportions and describe a diffusion large population approximation to the system.
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Of interest to epidemiologists is the time until infection disappears. Since the population is finite, in the SIRS models this happens in finite time. To estimate this time a diffusion approximation is often assumed. We discuss dangers of such approximations and solve the ensuing large deviations problem.
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http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3097098
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