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Subjective expectations and contrace...
~
Delavande, Adeline.
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Subjective expectations and contraception.
紀錄類型:
書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
Subjective expectations and contraception./
作者:
Delavande, Adeline.
面頁冊數:
260 p.
附註:
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 65-05, Section: A, page: 1905.
Contained By:
Dissertation Abstracts International65-05A.
標題:
Economics, Labor. -
電子資源:
http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3132508
ISBN:
0496797484
Subjective expectations and contraception.
Delavande, Adeline.
Subjective expectations and contraception.
- 260 p.
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 65-05, Section: A, page: 1905.
Thesis (Ph.D.)--Northwestern University, 2004.
A prevailing practice in economics is to assume that agents who make decisions under uncertainty maximize their expected utility: first, the decision maker uses available information to form expectations about the uncertain events, then she employs these subjective expectations to make decisions. In my dissertation, I focus on a particular decision under uncertainty: the choice of a birth control method. Beyond the study of contraception choice, my work provides methodological contributions to the empirical analysis of decision processes.
ISBN: 0496797484Subjects--Topical Terms:
1019135
Economics, Labor.
Subjective expectations and contraception.
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Thesis (Ph.D.)--Northwestern University, 2004.
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A prevailing practice in economics is to assume that agents who make decisions under uncertainty maximize their expected utility: first, the decision maker uses available information to form expectations about the uncertain events, then she employs these subjective expectations to make decisions. In my dissertation, I focus on a particular decision under uncertainty: the choice of a birth control method. Beyond the study of contraception choice, my work provides methodological contributions to the empirical analysis of decision processes.
520
$a
In the first part of the dissertation (Chapters 1 and 2), I analyze separately the two stages of decision making, and show how innovative data on expectations can be used to relax assumptions made when conducting inference on decision. Expectations data enable one to mitigate a basic difficulty encountered when drawing inference from choice data: that observed choices may be consistent with many combinations of expectations and preferences. Thus, I designed and conducted a survey to elicit probabilistic expectations from young sexually active about contraception.
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The first two chapters contribute to the recent literature on subjective expectations. In Chapter 1, I combine expectations data with observed choices to estimate a model of birth control choice, without making any assumptions on expectations. Pregnancy, sexually transmitted diseases and partner disapproval are found to be the most important determinants of contraceptive choice. Chapter 2 presents an exploratory method to both elicit and characterize revisions to subjective expectations, and provides empirical evidence on how women update their expectations about contraceptives' effectiveness. The women interviewed exhibit substantial heterogeneity in the way they revise their expectations with receipt of the same information.
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In the second part of the dissertation (Chapter 3), I focus on the identification of social learning and social influence in the choice of modern contraception. An essential issue in the empirical analysis of social interactions is the difficulty of discriminating amongst competing hypotheses regarding the nature of social effects. The strategy I adopt to disentangle social learning from social influence relies on a detailed modeling of the mechanisms through which they operate. My empirical analysis suggests that both effects play an important role in the choice of modern contraception in Indonesia.
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