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Clear thinking = structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /

Record Type:	Electronic resources : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Clear thinking/ by Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad.
Reminder of title:	structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /
Author:	Pherson, Randolph H.
other author:	Donner, Ole.
Published:	Cham :Springer Nature Switzerland : : 2024.,
Description:	xix, 243 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm.
[NT 15003449]:	Chapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook.
Contained By:	Springer Nature eBook
Subject:	Thought and thinking. -
Online resource:	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8
ISBN:	9783031487668

Clear thinking = structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /
Pherson, Randolph H.

Clear thinkingstructured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /[electronic resource] :by Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad. - Cham :Springer Nature Switzerland :2024. - xix, 243 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm. - Professional practice in governance and public organizations,2731-9784. - Professional practice in governance and public organizations..

Chapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook.

This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.

ISBN: 9783031487668

Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8doiSubjects--Topical Terms:

517849
Thought and thinking.

LC Class. No.: BF441

Dewey Class. No.: 153.42

Clear thinking = structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /
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245 1 0 $a Clear thinking $h [electronic resource] : $b structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers / $c by Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad.
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300 $a xix, 243 p. : $b ill. (some col.), digital ; $c 24 cm.
490 1 $a Professional practice in governance and public organizations, $x 2731-9784
505 0 $a Chapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook.
520 $a This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
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650 0 $a Logic. $3 529544
650 0 $a Decision making $x Psychological aspects. $3 756281
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650 2 4 $a Political Leadership. $3 3220900
650 2 4 $a Political History. $3 2181967
700 1 $a Donner, Ole. $3 3712280
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