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Bayes factors for forensic decision ...

Bozza, Silvia.

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Bayes factors for forensic decision analyses with R

Record Type:	Electronic resources : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Bayes factors for forensic decision analyses with R/ by Silvia Bozza, Franco Taroni, Alex Biedermann.
Author:	Bozza, Silvia.
other author:	Taroni, Franco.
Published:	Cham :Springer International Publishing : : 2022.,
Description:	xii, 187 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm.
[NT 15003449]:	Chapter 1: Introduction to the Bayes factor and decision analysis -- Chapter 2: Bayes factor for model choice -- Chapter 3: Bayes factor for evaluative purposes -- Chapter 4: Bayes factor for investigative purposes.
Contained By:	Springer Nature eBook
Subject:	Bayesian statistical decision theory - Data processing. -
Online resource:	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-09839-0
ISBN:	9783031098390

Bayes factors for forensic decision analyses with R
Bozza, Silvia.

Bayes factors for forensic decision analyses with R[electronic resource] /by Silvia Bozza, Franco Taroni, Alex Biedermann. - Cham :Springer International Publishing :2022. - xii, 187 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm. - Springer texts in statistics,2197-4136. - Springer texts in statistics..

Chapter 1: Introduction to the Bayes factor and decision analysis -- Chapter 2: Bayes factor for model choice -- Chapter 3: Bayes factor for evaluative purposes -- Chapter 4: Bayes factor for investigative purposes.

Open access.

Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R provides a self-contained introduction to computational Bayesian statistics using R. With its primary focus on Bayes factors supported by data sets, this book features an operational perspective, practical relevance, and applicability-keeping theoretical and philosophical justifications limited. It offers a balanced approach to three naturally interrelated topics: Probabilistic Inference - Relies on the core concept of Bayesian inferential statistics, to help practicing forensic scientists in the logical and balanced evaluation of the weight of evidence. Decision Making - Features how Bayes factors are interpreted in practical applications to help address questions of decision analysis involving the use of forensic science in the law. Operational Relevance - Combines inference and decision, backed up with practical examples and complete sample code in R, including sensitivity analyses and discussion on how to interpret results in context. Over the past decades, probabilistic methods have established a firm position as a reference approach for the management of uncertainty in virtually all areas of science, including forensic science, with Bayes' theorem providing the fundamental logical tenet for assessing how new information-scientific evidence-ought to be weighed. Central to this approach is the Bayes factor, which clarifies the evidential meaning of new information, by providing a measure of the change in the odds in favor of a proposition of interest, when going from the prior to the posterior distribution. Bayes factors should guide the scientist's thinking about the value of scientific evidence and form the basis of logical and balanced reporting practices, thus representing essential foundations for rational decision making under uncertainty. This book would be relevant to students, practitioners, and applied statisticians interested in inference and decision analyses in the critical field of forensic science. It could be used to support practical courses on Bayesian statistics and decision theory at both undergraduate and graduate levels, and will be of equal interest to forensic scientists and practitioners of Bayesian statistics for driving their evaluations and the use of R for their purposes. This book is Open Access.

ISBN: 9783031098390

Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-031-09839-0doiSubjects--Topical Terms:

731262
Bayesian statistical decision theory
--Data processing.

LC Class. No.: QA279.5 / .B69 2022

Dewey Class. No.: 519.542

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520 $a Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R provides a self-contained introduction to computational Bayesian statistics using R. With its primary focus on Bayes factors supported by data sets, this book features an operational perspective, practical relevance, and applicability-keeping theoretical and philosophical justifications limited. It offers a balanced approach to three naturally interrelated topics: Probabilistic Inference - Relies on the core concept of Bayesian inferential statistics, to help practicing forensic scientists in the logical and balanced evaluation of the weight of evidence. Decision Making - Features how Bayes factors are interpreted in practical applications to help address questions of decision analysis involving the use of forensic science in the law. Operational Relevance - Combines inference and decision, backed up with practical examples and complete sample code in R, including sensitivity analyses and discussion on how to interpret results in context. Over the past decades, probabilistic methods have established a firm position as a reference approach for the management of uncertainty in virtually all areas of science, including forensic science, with Bayes' theorem providing the fundamental logical tenet for assessing how new information-scientific evidence-ought to be weighed. Central to this approach is the Bayes factor, which clarifies the evidential meaning of new information, by providing a measure of the change in the odds in favor of a proposition of interest, when going from the prior to the posterior distribution. Bayes factors should guide the scientist's thinking about the value of scientific evidence and form the basis of logical and balanced reporting practices, thus representing essential foundations for rational decision making under uncertainty. This book would be relevant to students, practitioners, and applied statisticians interested in inference and decision analyses in the critical field of forensic science. It could be used to support practical courses on Bayesian statistics and decision theory at both undergraduate and graduate levels, and will be of equal interest to forensic scientists and practitioners of Bayesian statistics for driving their evaluations and the use of R for their purposes. This book is Open Access.
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