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The Short-Term and Long-Term Relatio...

Sangmanee, Domrongphol .

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The Short-Term and Long-Term Relationship between Public Sentiment and Insurgency Violence in 3 Southern Provinces of Thailand.

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	The Short-Term and Long-Term Relationship between Public Sentiment and Insurgency Violence in 3 Southern Provinces of Thailand./
作者:	Sangmanee, Domrongphol .
出版者:	Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, : 2019,
面頁冊數:	383 p.
附註:	Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-08, Section: B.
Contained By:	Dissertations Abstracts International81-08B.
標題:	Political science. -
電子資源:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=27669796
ISBN:	9781392808146

The Short-Term and Long-Term Relationship between Public Sentiment and Insurgency Violence in 3 Southern Provinces of Thailand.
Sangmanee, Domrongphol .

The Short-Term and Long-Term Relationship between Public Sentiment and Insurgency Violence in 3 Southern Provinces of Thailand. - Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2019 - 383 p.

Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-08, Section: B.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Claremont Graduate University, 2019.

This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.

This dissertation is aimed to developing and improving the theory on the intrastate conflict and public sentiment as well as the conventional wisdom on the conflict study as well as developing new analytical framework for studying intrastate conflict and for informing policymakers to deliver or adjust for a better policy to cope with this problem. The empirical case study is an insurgency conflict in three Southern provinces of Thailand. The study employs multi-variate time-series analysis, namely Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), and empirical system dynamics analysis, namely Convergent Cross-Mapping (CCM). The results show that the relationship between public sentiment and the insurgency violence are not empirically supported by all three analysis. The political demographic influence on the violence are empirically supported in all three analysis, especially in long-term relationship. Surprisingly, the socio-economic factors are not consistently supported by the empirical analysis. The results from CCM also suggest the relationship between political demographics and level of violence from insurgency is non-linear and the conventional statistical estimation can be limited in its estimation.

ISBN: 9781392808146Subjects--Topical Terms:

528916
Political science.
Subjects--Index Terms:

Intrastate conflict

The Short-Term and Long-Term Relationship between Public Sentiment and Insurgency Violence in 3 Southern Provinces of Thailand.
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500 $a Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-08, Section: B.
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520 $a This dissertation is aimed to developing and improving the theory on the intrastate conflict and public sentiment as well as the conventional wisdom on the conflict study as well as developing new analytical framework for studying intrastate conflict and for informing policymakers to deliver or adjust for a better policy to cope with this problem. The empirical case study is an insurgency conflict in three Southern provinces of Thailand. The study employs multi-variate time-series analysis, namely Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), and empirical system dynamics analysis, namely Convergent Cross-Mapping (CCM). The results show that the relationship between public sentiment and the insurgency violence are not empirically supported by all three analysis. The political demographic influence on the violence are empirically supported in all three analysis, especially in long-term relationship. Surprisingly, the socio-economic factors are not consistently supported by the empirical analysis. The results from CCM also suggest the relationship between political demographics and level of violence from insurgency is non-linear and the conventional statistical estimation can be limited in its estimation.
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