東華大學圖書館 |

Language: English

Help

回圖書館首頁

手機版館藏查詢

Back

Switch To: Labeled | MARC Mode | ISBD

The Messy Nuclear Landscape: Using F...

Nixon, Ryan M.

Linked to FindBook

Google Book

Amazon

博客來

The Messy Nuclear Landscape: Using Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping to Explore Plausible Nuclear Disarmament Scenarios.

Record Type:	Electronic resources : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	The Messy Nuclear Landscape: Using Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping to Explore Plausible Nuclear Disarmament Scenarios./
Author:	Nixon, Ryan M.
Published:	Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, : 2019,
Description:	326 p.
Notes:	Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-04, Section: B.
Contained By:	Dissertations Abstracts International81-04B.
Subject:	International relations. -
Online resource:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=13809705
ISBN:	9781085789370

The Messy Nuclear Landscape: Using Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping to Explore Plausible Nuclear Disarmament Scenarios.
Nixon, Ryan M.

The Messy Nuclear Landscape: Using Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping to Explore Plausible Nuclear Disarmament Scenarios. - Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2019 - 326 p.

Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-04, Section: B.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--Old Dominion University, 2019.

This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.

Nuclear weapons are seemingly permanent fixtures in international relations. Although nuclear abolitionists and actors within the Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have taken significant steps towards designing a world without nuclear weapons, the longstanding realist logic that suggests nuclear disarmament is nonviable has born more fruit. On the other hand, some proponents of realism have suggested global nuclear disarmament is feasible, given that certain international instabilities are stabilized and that special care is taken during diplomatic negotiations. This presents an opportunity to test these predictions using fuzzy cognitive mapping, a computational modeling technique that identifies problems, their stakeholders, and stakeholders' components in order to determine scenarios that solve complex disputes in ways that benefit the system as a whole. This study identifies two problems regarding nuclear disarmament. First, nuclear weapon states are resistant to giving up nuclear weapons, despite agreements to disarm. This problem follows realist logic. Second, the role that the IAEA plays in safeguarding special nuclear materials while guaranteeing states' rights to nuclear technology is contrasted by states' interest in maintaining levels of secrecy. These two problems constitute a "mess" that this study analyzes. Synthesis between the problems requires that solving one does not make the other worse. Therefore, this study tests various scenarios and finds that, given present-day international instabilities are stabilized, nuclear disarmament is feasible if three conditions are met: First, a global disarmament agreement must not unreasonably affect states' sovereign rights outside of the agreement. Second, states outlying the NPT must be brought into the negotiations. Finally, present states with nuclear arsenals adopt the IAEA's Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement with the Additional Protocol as a measure of good faith. A final factor suggests states' rights to the technology inevitably means states should have an ability to re-proliferate in the event of future international instability that threatens global security. Once these steps are taken and technological rights guaranteed, this model suggests global nuclear disarmament is possible.

ISBN: 9781085789370Subjects--Topical Terms:

531762
International relations.

The Messy Nuclear Landscape: Using Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping to Explore Plausible Nuclear Disarmament Scenarios.
LDR:03442nmm a2200337 4500 001 2264667
005 20200511121252.5
008 220629s2019 eng d
020 $a 9781085789370
035 $a (MiAaPQ)AAI13809705
035 $a AAI13809705
040 $a MiAaPQ $c MiAaPQ
100 1 $a Nixon, Ryan M. $3 3541790
245 1 4 $a The Messy Nuclear Landscape: Using Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping to Explore Plausible Nuclear Disarmament Scenarios.
260 1 $a Ann Arbor : $b ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, $c 2019
300 $a 326 p.
500 $a Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-04, Section: B.
500 $a Includes supplementary digital materials.
500 $a Advisor: Richman, Jesse.
502 $a Thesis (Ph.D.)--Old Dominion University, 2019.
506 $a This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.
520 $a Nuclear weapons are seemingly permanent fixtures in international relations. Although nuclear abolitionists and actors within the Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have taken significant steps towards designing a world without nuclear weapons, the longstanding realist logic that suggests nuclear disarmament is nonviable has born more fruit. On the other hand, some proponents of realism have suggested global nuclear disarmament is feasible, given that certain international instabilities are stabilized and that special care is taken during diplomatic negotiations. This presents an opportunity to test these predictions using fuzzy cognitive mapping, a computational modeling technique that identifies problems, their stakeholders, and stakeholders' components in order to determine scenarios that solve complex disputes in ways that benefit the system as a whole. This study identifies two problems regarding nuclear disarmament. First, nuclear weapon states are resistant to giving up nuclear weapons, despite agreements to disarm. This problem follows realist logic. Second, the role that the IAEA plays in safeguarding special nuclear materials while guaranteeing states' rights to nuclear technology is contrasted by states' interest in maintaining levels of secrecy. These two problems constitute a "mess" that this study analyzes. Synthesis between the problems requires that solving one does not make the other worse. Therefore, this study tests various scenarios and finds that, given present-day international instabilities are stabilized, nuclear disarmament is feasible if three conditions are met: First, a global disarmament agreement must not unreasonably affect states' sovereign rights outside of the agreement. Second, states outlying the NPT must be brought into the negotiations. Finally, present states with nuclear arsenals adopt the IAEA's Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement with the Additional Protocol as a measure of good faith. A final factor suggests states' rights to the technology inevitably means states should have an ability to re-proliferate in the event of future international instability that threatens global security. Once these steps are taken and technological rights guaranteed, this model suggests global nuclear disarmament is possible.
590 $a School code: 0418.
650 4 $a International relations. $3 531762
650 4 $a Political science. $3 528916
650 4 $a Computer science. $3 523869
650 4 $a Peace studies. $3 3172392
690 $a 0601
690 $a 0615
690 $a 0984
690 $a 0563
710 2 $a Old Dominion University. $b International Studies. $3 3281266
773 0 $t Dissertations Abstracts International $g 81-04B.
790 $a 0418
791 $a Ph.D.
792 $a 2019
793 $a English
856 4 0 $u http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=13809705