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International Politics by Other Mean...

Toukan, Mark.

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International Politics by Other Means: Interstate Rivalries and the Escalation of Civil Conflicts.

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	International Politics by Other Means: Interstate Rivalries and the Escalation of Civil Conflicts./
作者:	Toukan, Mark.
出版者:	Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, : 2017,
面頁冊數:	228 p.
附註:	Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 78-12(E), Section: A.
Contained By:	Dissertation Abstracts International78-12A(E).
標題:	International relations. -
電子資源:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=10603120
ISBN:	9780355092592

International Politics by Other Means: Interstate Rivalries and the Escalation of Civil Conflicts.
Toukan, Mark.

International Politics by Other Means: Interstate Rivalries and the Escalation of Civil Conflicts. - Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2017 - 228 p.

Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 78-12(E), Section: A.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of Wisconsin - Madison, 2017.

This dissertation takes as its point of departure the insight that if governments and opposition groups are even minimally strategic, their expectations of receiving foreign support in their conflicts should matter for their decisions to escalate or compromise. States vary systematically in the supply of external support available to them, so factors that raise or lower this supply should be associated with states' risk of experiencing civil war. Conflict between states in the international system thus helps us understand the prevalence of civil war in the international system.

ISBN: 9780355092592Subjects--Topical Terms:

531762
International relations.

International Politics by Other Means: Interstate Rivalries and the Escalation of Civil Conflicts.
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500 $a Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 78-12(E), Section: A.
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520 $a This dissertation takes as its point of departure the insight that if governments and opposition groups are even minimally strategic, their expectations of receiving foreign support in their conflicts should matter for their decisions to escalate or compromise. States vary systematically in the supply of external support available to them, so factors that raise or lower this supply should be associated with states' risk of experiencing civil war. Conflict between states in the international system thus helps us understand the prevalence of civil war in the international system.
520 $a I argue that states located nearby interstate rivals are more likely to experience civil wars. Rivals are more likely targets for governments and oppositions seeking support because they respond to opportunities to further their own interests or stymie those of their rivals. Interstate rivals are thus a supply of support that governments and opposition groups can leverage in their own internal conflicts. This supply of support has two effects. First, as governments and opposition groups attract support from rivals domestic polarization increases, which exacerbates internal conflicts. Second, the prospect of intervention makes it more likely that governments and opposition groups come to hold divergent expectations over the outcome of war, increasing the risk that they forgo compromise and fight a war.
520 $a I derive hypotheses from a formal model in which a government and opposition are in conflict each have the ability to align with a foreign rival to secure its intervention in the event of war. I test the implications of the model using original spatial data on the density of interstate rivalry and military conflict. I show that a state's geopolitical context is a substantively important factor driving the prevalence of civil war and has effects on par with contagion from other civil wars. I present two case studies of Lebanon's civil war in 1958 and Syria's civil war in 2011 to further illustrate the mechanisms. In a final chapter, I present evidence that states involved in rivalries are less likely to experience civil wars but more likely to engage in political repression due to the capacity-building effects of interstate competition.
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