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Financial crises and trade policy in...
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Heidrich, Pablo.
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Financial crises and trade policy in developing countries.
紀錄類型:
書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
Financial crises and trade policy in developing countries./
作者:
Heidrich, Pablo.
面頁冊數:
211 p.
附註:
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 75-11(E), Section: A.
Contained By:
Dissertation Abstracts International75-11A(E).
標題:
Political science. -
電子資源:
http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3628182
ISBN:
9781321037456
Financial crises and trade policy in developing countries.
Heidrich, Pablo.
Financial crises and trade policy in developing countries.
- 211 p.
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 75-11(E), Section: A.
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Southern California, 2014.
This item is not available from ProQuest Dissertations & Theses.
This dissertation consists of three related essays. The first looks at how developing countries at times deal simultaneously with two different but recurrent events of economic globalization: financial crises and trade negotiations. Most current research however does not consider the interrelations of these two. This paper takes then two large developing countries, Brazil and Argentina, involved in bilateral trade bargaining just as they are stricken by financial crises. Considering ongoing negotiations plus others resulting from the crises themselves, this paper hypothesizes that countries change behavior according to how the industrial sectors involved in those negotiations are affected by the crises. The specific characteristics of a financial meltdown, scarcity of lending capital and a drop in the real cost of labor when there is a devaluation, concur to modify their negotiating positions. Furthermore, the likeliness of contagion makes countries more or less accommodating to the affected economy.
ISBN: 9781321037456Subjects--Topical Terms:
528916
Political science.
Financial crises and trade policy in developing countries.
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This dissertation consists of three related essays. The first looks at how developing countries at times deal simultaneously with two different but recurrent events of economic globalization: financial crises and trade negotiations. Most current research however does not consider the interrelations of these two. This paper takes then two large developing countries, Brazil and Argentina, involved in bilateral trade bargaining just as they are stricken by financial crises. Considering ongoing negotiations plus others resulting from the crises themselves, this paper hypothesizes that countries change behavior according to how the industrial sectors involved in those negotiations are affected by the crises. The specific characteristics of a financial meltdown, scarcity of lending capital and a drop in the real cost of labor when there is a devaluation, concur to modify their negotiating positions. Furthermore, the likeliness of contagion makes countries more or less accommodating to the affected economy.
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The second essay examines to what extent the financial crises' of the late 1990s and their contagion via trade linkages explains changes in trade policy in developing countries, defined as the changes in applied tariffs and the use of antidumping measures. In this way, it seeks to explain the progressive reduction in the pace of trade liberalization and its partial reversal in some countries in the developing world since 1995 until 2003. In order to test this hypothesis, I conduct a statistical analysis on contagion effects on 100 countries from 7 financial crises. The results indicate a strong relationship between suffering a crisis or contagion from one and reducing the pace of trade liberalization, particularly, after 1997-8. There is no return to the previous enthusiasm for free trade after these events, with tariffs staying mostly at the same levels or increasing and with antidumping use increasing very rapidly.
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The third essay shows that since the 1990s, there has been a surge in the numbers of preferential trade agreements, either regional or bilateral, involving developing countries. The two regions that show this development most compellingly are Latin America and East Asia. The hypothesis here is that disappointing GDP growth after the series of financial crises there in the mid-1990s have provoked a change in trade policy, seeking now reciprocity in concessions via preferential agreements as the new form to advance trade liberalization. In contrast, region-wide agreements have floundered, while previous "open regionalism" initiatives have now become mainly negotiating platforms for reaching preferential deals with other countries, instead of deepening their levels of internal integration. By focusing on what countries affected by these crises have done, we learn that the political response of populations and leaders to these crises has made preferential trade liberalization the strategy of choice to build alliances with other developing countries and increase market access for their exporters.
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